• Only 8.5% of Omicron cases are among the “wholly UN-vaccinated”.
• Most Omicron cases occur in 15-60 year olds
• Vaccination Rate among 15-60 year olds is approximately 80%
• There is about 2% of single-dose not fully vaxxed
• So, the “un-vaccination rate”, meaning percentage of completely pure blood un-vaxxed, is about 17%
• Therefore, since unvaccinated people comprise 17% of the age sample, but are only 8.5% of cases, they are approximately “50% protected due to not being vaccinated”. Sounds strange, right? We’ll talk about how it works, later.

Omicron hospitalization rate higher than Delta?

I have collected hospitalization data from several recent Omikronvarianten reports. A picture is already emerging. Before discussing it, note that hospitalizations lag cases by about a week or so. People test positive, stay home, most recover, but some decline and end up hospitalized in about a week.

So, looking at the data, note that I compare the number of hospitalizations to the cumulative number of cases, lagging by 6 days. I do that for both Delta as well as Omicron to compare “apples to apples”. Without applying the lag, we would get nonsensical results due to exponential growth of Omicron.

Some things to note here is that in the first few days of Omikronvarianten reports, clearly some data adjustments were made, because Delta hospitalization rate inexplicably jumped on Dec 13, and the first value for Omicron hospitalization also seems out of line. But in the last few days, the picture stabilized and delta hospitalization rate seems to be around 2.1%, whereas Omicron hospitalization rate seems to be around 2.6%.

Please note that properly measuring hospitalization rate requires a cohort study: identify a few of thousands of new Omicron cases, follow these specific people for a few weeks, and count how many end up being hospitalized. Unfortunately, I cannot do this cohort study, and Denmark does not have enough data, but I can try to make estimates using Denmark’s daily reports. My estimates are necessarily extremely imprecise, but they may give us some idea as the apples-to-apples comparison between Delta and Omicron.

Delta is not even stopping

Another weird news here is that Delta cases, so far, are not even declining, they are rising.

I am sure that Delta cases will eventually decline — everything eventually declines — but so far it is a dual rising pandemic, of Delta and Omicron.

ADE – Antibody Dependent Enhancement

The greater affinity of Omicron towards the vaccinated, and the fact that no-vaccination is actually PROTECTIVE, shows that vaccination is not merely useless: vaxx is actively harmful as far as getting a case of Omicron goes. If the vaccine was simply perfectly useless — like a placebo saline solution — this would NOT be the case, and vaccinated, and unvaccinated, would all be infected at the same rate. This is NOT happening here: the vaxxed are infected at a MUCH HIGHER rate, and no-vax gives 50% “protection”.

What is going on? I can think of three explanations.

• The unvaccinated include more Covid-recovered who are immune to Covid. This is very uncertain as to the extent of this, as many recovered persons were bamboozled into getting a vaccine also.

• The vaccine antibodies are actually aiding and abetting Omicron in penetrating mucosal barrier and overcoming immune defenses. This is called “ADE” and was much discussed on substack, in my previous post as well as many others. Click on the links in the above article.
• The vaccine generally destroys immunity, and Omicron evades vaccine antibodies, making Omicron as infectious as without the vaccine, but without the working immune system to oppose it.”